Some decisions are exhausting. Lobster or crab? Gown for climate or gown for fashion? Watch soccer or take a nap? Watch a Batman film or take a nap? Watch one other TikTok or do the rest humanly attainable? Any of these items, or take a nap?
Will we construct a wild-card weekend DFS roster utilizing the Rams’ passing sport or working sport, as a result of doing each doesn’t make a lot sense?
When setting up a every day fantasy roster for NFL slates, correlation between gamers and video games is a major constructing block. You usually need a quarterback-receiving combo. It’s smart to make use of somebody from the other aspect of that very same sport. It is smart to pair a working again together with your protection/particular groups, and so on.
Now, the shorter the slate, the extra overlap you get amongst numerous correlation concepts, however generally, for those who lean into one staff’s passing sport, you don’t wish to additionally make use of the working again from that staff.
With a six-game slate for Saturday-Monday DFS contests, we’re not fairly on the level after we disregard these corelation boundaries. Thus, we’ve got a choice to make in what we predict will likely be one of many highest-scoring wild-card video games: Rams-Lions.
Will we use the Rams passing sport (Matthew Stafford plus Cooper Kupp or Puka Nacua or another combo)? Or can we go for their working sport (Kyren Williams)?
There are just a few major parts that time use towards the passing sport right here. 1. Williams ($9,000 at FanDuel) is the costliest of the Rams choices. 2. Since Williams simply has been the best this season of the RBs obtainable, and even the best scoring Flex possibility on common, we count on his utilization price to be increased than different Rams choices. 3. The Lions have been the stingiest protection vs. fantasy RBs all season (not less than in PPR, although FanDuel is simply half-point).
4. As a result of he was out the ultimate week and his season has been largely blah in comparison with expectations, and the explosive rookie season of Nacua, we predict Kupp goes to be under-used this week. Plus, Kupp ($7,500) is cheaper than Nacua ($8,000).
And although we like the concept Baker Mayfield ($7,200) will get to face an Eagles cross protection that has been a turnstile recently, the upside we get with Stafford ($7,400) for a small quantity extra is an excessive amount of of a cut price to cross up.
That seals it, we’re utilizing a Rams stack. Determination made. Time for a nap.
The place the wild issues are
Josh Allen QB, Payments, vs. Steelers (FanDuel $9,300/Draft Kings $8,000)
Chilly and snowy, which isn’t preferrred. But in addition windy, which is unhealthy. With attainable squalls. Yeah, that’s not nice both.
Tyreek Hill WR, Dolphins, at Chiefs (FD $9,400/DK $8,700)
Not snowy, however chilly. Like, actually chilly. No, like no matter form of chilly you simply considered, colder than that. Not fairly as limiting as what’s in Buffalo, however not the form of climate through which we anticipate a banged-up Miami offense to thrive.
Betting on the NFL?
Isiah Pacheco RB, Chiefs, vs. Dolphins (FD $8,000/DK $6,400)
Miami accidents lengthen to the protection. Bruising fashion of Pacheco may be esepcially uncomfortable for defenses the colder it will get, resulting in extra arm-tackling.
Najee Harris RB, Steelers, at Payments (FD $6,500/DK $5,400)
With each passing video games probably grounded, we’ll take no matter is closest to a lead again in opposition to a Payments protection that was common vs. the run this 12 months.
Baker Mayfield QB, Buccaneers, vs. Eagles (FD $7,200/DK $5,800)
Solely the Commanders have been worse defending the cross this season. Assuming Mayfield performs (we predict he’ll), he ought to be capable to produce past his low-cost value.
Elijah Moore WR, Browns, at Texans (FD $6,000/DK $4,000)
Although probably will flock towards Amari Cooper or David Njoku to pair with Joe Flacco, we like Moore’s reasonably priced value level and upside.
Madness’s Day by day Dose
Day by day fantasy league lineup suggestion by Drew Loftis:
Crew FanDuel
Sort: Tourney
Wage: $60K
Charge: $9
Slate: Sat.-Mon.
High Prize: $20K
Tot. pot: $100K
QB: Matthew Stafford $7,400
RB: Isiah Pacheco $8,000
RB: Najee Harris $6,500
WR: Cooper Kupp $7,500
WR: Elijah Moore $6,000
WR: CeeDee Lamb $10,000
TE: Luke Musgrave $5,100
Flex: Jameson Williams $5,200
DEF: Chiefs $4,000
For late roster modifications, observe @NYPost_Loftis on X.
Season risked: $180.44
Season winnings: Drew $106, Jarad Wilk $60