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onsdag, december 20, 2023

President Abdel Fatah El-Sisi wins reelection, however faces critical challenges


CAIRO — President Abdel Fatah El-Sisi coasted to victory in Egypt’s presidential election this month, clinching a 3rd time period in a vote whose end result was predetermined however which was hailed by supporters as a transparent mandate for six extra years of iron-fisted rule, even because the nation contends with a collapsing economic system and a battle raging subsequent door.

Sisi, a strongman and former basic who rose to energy after a coup in 2013, obtained practically 90 p.c of the vote, election officers introduced at a information convention Monday. The handful of little-known candidates who ran in opposition to him — none of whom posed a reputable problem — obtained about 10 p.c of the vote between them.

At slightly below 67 p.c, in keeping with the Nationwide Election Authority, turnout was larger than in 2014 and 2018. Ahmed Bendari, the physique’s director, referred to as it “unprecedented” in Egyptian historical past.

Sisi has already served two four-year phrases; a constitutional modification in 2019 paved the best way for him to remain in workplace till 2030, however he’s presiding over a rustic that’s deeply in debt, flailing economically and residing subsequent door to brutal battle with no simple finish in sight.

What to learn about Egypt’s election, anticipated at hand Sisi a 3rd time period

Sisi’s solely critical opponent, former parliamentarian Ahmed Tantawy, was unable to get on the poll after supporters have been blocked from endorsing him. Tantawy’s relations and marketing campaign employees have been arrested or harassed and he was indicted final month on fees rights teams described as politically motivated.

Egyptian media, nearly solely state-affiliated, touted Sisi’s accomplishments whereas giving little airtime to his three challengers. Most voters interviewed throughout the Egyptian capital through the three-day voting interval final week had by no means heard of the opposite candidates.

For Sisi and his backers, it was all concerning the present.

Billboards bearing his face alongside the slogans “All of us are with you” and “Beloved of the Egyptians” loomed above Cairo’s maze of highways forward of the vote. His marketing campaign banners lined most main streets.

At a polling web site in Sayeda Zeinab, a working-class neighborhood in central Cairo, volunteers sporting T-shirts emblazoned with the president’s face corralled voters right into a line. Close to Tahrir Sq., the middle of the 2011 Arab Spring revolution, younger women and men marched down a large avenue behind “Sisi for president” banners.

Many Egyptians outdoors polling websites on Monday described voting as a civic responsibility.

“I’ve to offer my opinion,” stated Rasha Ashour, 40, a vitamin technician from the working-class neighborhood of Basateen. “We would like the nation to be higher so we try to assist it to be higher.”

That meant voting for Sisi, she stated.

Walid, 58, a well dressed businessman who voted in downtown Cairo, insisted it was “a free and honest election.”

“Nobody cheated. We voted our selection, our president,” Walid added, talking on the situation he be recognized by his first identify solely, for privateness causes. “He’s achieved an awesome job. He protected our nation.”

As Egypt’s financial disaster deepens, an reasonably priced meal is difficult to seek out

However loads of Egyptians stayed at dwelling, dismayed by sliding residing requirements and feeling powerless to result in change.

In Bulaq el-Dakrour, a lower-income neighborhood of unpaved alleyways trafficked by donkey carts, an unemployed 26-year-old leaned in opposition to the wall of a blacksmith’s store final week and stated neither he nor his pals deliberate to vote.

Sisi “fully destroyed [the country], he made it very onerous,” he stated, talking on the situation of anonymity out of concern for his safety.

“Nobody is voting,” he added. “Those that go, go for the cash. I don’t know what they provide them, however they should be giving them cash.”

Washington Publish reporters noticed a gaggle of girls crowding round a person inside one polling space in central Cairo asking methods to redeem their coupons.

A 40-year-old trainer in Helwan, a southern suburb of Cairo, instructed The Publish she hadn’t wished to vote. However her employer compelled academics at her public college to board buses to the polls this week. After she forged her poll, native officers gave her and others who might show they’d voted 200 kilos, about $6.

The trainer stated colleagues who remained behind have been instructed they’d be reported to the schooling authority, denied paid go away and docked three days’ pay.

“It’s elections by pressure,” she stated, talking on the situation of anonymity out of concern for her security.

Diaa Rashwan, the top of the State Info Service, stated there was no proof of any cash or items being exchanged for voting and such practices have been a legal offense beneath Egyptian regulation.

There have been “no violations within the election course of,” Hazem Badawy of the Nationwide Election Authority stated on the information convention Monday.

For many Egyptians interviewed by The Publish, their willingness to forged a poll appeared to stem much less from love of the president than from a deep worry that has taken maintain right here since Oct. 7, when the Hamas assault on Israel triggered the battle in neighboring Gaza.

As Israel bombards Gaza, killing 1000’s of civilians, public anger at Israel and its Western backers is mounting. Remarks by some right-wing Israeli politicians — coupled with a army assault that has pushed practically 2 million Gazans towards the Egyptian border — have fueled fears in Egypt that Israel is attempting to drive Palestinians into northern Sinai.

As Israel pummels besieged Gaza, Egypt resists opening as much as refugees

Sisi has insisted that Egypt is not going to be complicit within the compelled displacement of Palestinians or jeopardize its sovereignty and safety. His stance earned plaudits from even a few of his sharpest critics — and renewed respect from some Egyptians who had soured on him because the economic system worsened.

In Sayeda Zeinab, the battle strengthened residents’ conviction {that a} army chief is finest for Egypt, shopkeeper Adel Tawfik, 75, stated.

“His recognition was affected by the excessive costs, however after Gaza, they returned to assist him once more,” he stated. “Sudan, Libya, Syria, Palestine — in comparison with others, we’re doing higher. And we’re proper in the midst of hearth.”

Safety and stability have fashioned the cornerstone of Sisi’s pitch since he got here to energy in 2013 after a army coup ousted Mohamed Morsi, Egypt’s democratically elected president from the Muslim Brotherhood. Sisi gambled that Egyptians and overseas backers would tolerate home repression, the jailing or exiling of human rights defenders, the shrinking of civic house — and even mismanagement of the economic system — as long as he ensured that Egypt remained calm in a area torn aside by turmoil.

The battle in Gaza has put that argument entrance and middle once more, giving Sisi a much-needed increase.

Larger general turnout this time appeared to replicate “the troubles of the Egyptians and the anger of the youth towards the worldwide neighborhood,” stated Noha Bakr, a professor of political science on the American College in Cairo.

But when successful was the simple half, Sisi faces a bunch of daunting challenges forward.

There’s the fast precedence of retaining Egypt out of the Gaza battle and sustaining its 1979 peace treaty with Israel, analysts stated, all whereas attempting to assuage public anguish over the struggling of Palestinians.

The economic system, closely depending on tourism and imports, is at its lowest level in many years, buffeted by the pandemic, the battle in Ukraine and now the preventing in Gaza. However analysts additionally level to critical structural issues, mixed with reckless authorities spending.

The federal government has borrowed closely to finance large infrastructure and constructing initiatives, together with a $58 billion new capital within the desert outdoors Cairo. The army, closely concerned within the economic system beneath Sisi, advantages from many of those initiatives.

Some Egyptians say the brand new roads and bridges have eased congestion in higher Cairo, dwelling to just about 1 / 4 of Egypt’s 105 million folks. However the nation’s exterior debt has reached practically $165 billion — 40 p.c of the Gross Home Product. Curiosity funds made up 60 p.c of presidency expenditure for the primary three months of the 2023 fiscal yr.

Egypt faces looming deadlines to pay again at the very least $42 billion to lenders subsequent yr. It’s the second-likeliest nation on this planet to default on its debt funds, after Ukraine, in keeping with a current Bloomberg rating.

“Mainly the whole period of Sisi’s presidency has been an endemic collection of financial crises — and it’s not simply financial hardship, it’s humiliation,” stated Timothy Kaldas, deputy director of the Tahrir Institute for Center East Coverage. “Whereas all that is occurring, Egyptians are watching the regime enrich itself.”

Inflation stands at 34.6 p.c. For meals merchandise, it’s practically double. Amid a hard-currency crunch, Egyptians are hoarding {dollars} or promoting them on the black market.

Costs of fundamental commodities have soared, and poverty is on the rise. Whereas welfare applications supply fundamental assist to the poor, the center class is being hollowed out. On the streets of Cairo and on in style discuss reveals, the price of onions and a months-long “sugar disaster” dominate dialog.

Many Egyptians worry an upcoming devaluation of the pound, demanded by worldwide lenders.

“Folks now anticipate that after he wins, the costs are going to double,” stated a 47-year-old housewife and mom of three in Bulaq el-Dakrour, who spoke on the situation of anonymity out of concern for her security.

She used to prepare dinner meat or rooster for her household twice every week, she stated. Not. A few of her neighbors go to mattress hungry.

“He says he takes care of girls,” she stated, referring to Sisi, whom many Egyptians hesitate to call publicly. “However the ladies listed here are feeling the stress. I don’t assume it can get higher.”

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