Now that the NFL’s Thanksgiving slate is within the rearview mirror, it’s time to focus our consideration on the Week 12 Sunday schedule.
It’s fairly a bit smaller than normal, however that doesn’t imply we don’t have loads of choices to select from.
I’ve scoured the PrizePicks foyer to give you my 4 favourite DFS picks for Sunday’s video games.
Michael Pittman greater than 68.5 receiving yards
That is one among my favourite video games to focus on for passing and receiving yards as a result of these two defenses actually battle to defend the cross.
Even higher, the Buccaneers have a real pass-funnel protection, rating twentieth in DVOA in opposition to the cross and third in DVOA in opposition to the run.
The Colts will attempt to run the ball, however possible with little success.
That’s the place Pittman is available in; the Colts extensive receiver has racked up a minimum of 64 receiving yards in six of 10 video games this season and is going through a secondary that has allowed the third-most receiving yards to extensive receivers this season.
Travis Etienne greater than 87.5 dashing + receiving yards
This play is much less in regards to the matchup than it’s about Etienne’s alternative for quantity..
Etienne’s contact rely has dipped over the past two weeks, however that’s as a result of the Jaguars confronted two of the most effective defenses within the NFL (49ers and Titans). Previous to that, he had contact totals of 27, 17, 21 and 30 in consecutive video games.
Count on him to see north of 20 touches this week in opposition to the Texans, who’ve been mediocre in opposition to working backs this season. I like his possibilities to go over 100 yards from scrimmage, so the projection of 87.5 dashing and receiving yards appears greater than doable.
Derrick Henry greater than 68.5 dashing yards
There are few issues in life that I really like greater than focusing on working backs in opposition to the Carolina Panthers, who’re final in DVOA in opposition to the run and rush EPA this season.
After ugly performances the final three weeks from Will Levis, the TItans will wish to set up the run early and infrequently. That is usually the time of 12 months when Henry begins to hit his stride, and now he will get to face the worst run protection within the NFL.
His utilization has largely trusted the rating of the sport, so it’s price noting that the Titans are four-point residence favorites this week.
Betting on the NFL?
Russell Wilson fewer than 197.5 passing yards
I’m taking a uncommon underneath this week with Wilson’s low passing yards complete.
The Broncos have been successful video games lately, however they’ve had an unsustainable turnover benefit.
The offense hasn’t precisely been buzzing, as Wilson has thrown for fewer than 200 yards in 5 of the final six video games.
This week, he squares off in opposition to the Browns, who’re first in each DVOA in opposition to the cross and rush EPA. Cleveland solely permits 143.7 passing yards per recreation, which is a powerful feat.
Count on the Broncos to lean closely on the run, particularly since they’re 1.5-point residence favorites.