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Burns once more in Doha to push for cease-fire settlement earlier than Ramadan


CIA Director William J. Burns is in Doha for conferences with negotiators attempting to push foundering Gaza cease-fire and hostage launch talks over the end line earlier than Ramadan, the Muslim holy month of fasting, begins Monday.

Israel and the US have each blamed Hamas for failing to comply with a proposal that may free about half of the remaining Hamas-held Israeli hostages, estimated to complete round 100, throughout a six-week pause in preventing that may additionally facilitate a big enhance in humanitarian assist coming into Gaza.

However Hamas is holding out for Israel to comply with a extra everlasting finish to the preventing. The federal government of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has adamantly refused, saying that it’s decided to destroy the militant group. He has vowed that Israel will assault Hamas fighters mentioned to be hiding among the many roughly 1.5 million Palestinians now squeezed into the southern a part of the enclave.

“The ball is in each Hamas’s and Israel’s court docket,” mentioned an individual acquainted with the negotiations, who spoke on the situation of anonymity to debate the delicate talks.

Burns, a former profession diplomat with many years of expertise in delicate diplomacy, arrived within the Qatari capital Friday. He has been the administration’s level particular person in negotiations between Israel and Hamas, touring to Doha in late November for a closing shove that achieved an earlier week-long pause within the preventing and an preliminary launch of hostages.

Because the present talks bought underway in January, he has traveled to Paris, Cairo and Tel Aviv and now once more to Doha, the place Hamas’s political management relies. David Barnea, head of Israel’s Mossad intelligence company, has been at lots of these conferences, together with Saturday in Qatar. U.S. and Arab officers say the 2 spy chiefs are in a position to communicate with out the burden of political issues, in a way typically tough in conversations between the highest ranges of their respective governments.

Throughout weeks of negotiations wherein the US, Qatar and Egypt have served as intermediaries, the warring sides have not directly debated various points, amongst them a Hamas demand for particular quantities of assist to go to particular locations in Gaza, and Israel’s insistence on a whole listing of the remaining hostages and what number of of them are nonetheless alive.

Israel, whereas agreeing to reposition its troops in southern Gaza in the course of the six-week pause, needs to retain freedom of navy motion within the north. Hamas needs ensures that each one Gazans from the largely evacuated north can return there — with the supply of meals, water, medical provides and shelter. There even have been disagreements over what number of Palestinians held in Israeli prisons, and which of them, might be launched in alternate for the hostages.

However these points aren’t “sticking factors,” mentioned the particular person acquainted with the talks. “If you happen to cope with the primary one — a cease-fire — they are often sorted out.” The problem of a short lived pause versus a everlasting finish to the preventing led to final weekend’s breakdown of talks held in Cairo.

For its half, the Biden administration is underneath growing strain to get a deal achieved now. It envisions what a senior administration official referred to as a “three-phase deal,” starting with the preliminary sixweek pause in preventing, the concurrent launch of all ladies, youngsters, aged and injured hostages, and an assured enhance in assist. That first tranche of the hostage launch would embody a minimum of one in all six Americans being held, Hersh Goldberg-Polin, who was severely wounded and misplaced an arm within the Oct. 7 Hamas assault that killed round 1,200 folks in southern Israel. The assault led to the continuing Israeli navy offensive wherein greater than 30,000 have been killed in Gaza, President Biden mentioned on Thursday.

“All of that stuff has been negotiated,” the official mentioned. Launch of the remaining hostages, together with captured members of the Israel Protection Forces, and a continuation of the cease-fire “may be prolonged right into a second part.”

The U.S. view is that settlement on the primary part is “a step in the suitable route — you get 45 days, you give folks reduction throughout Ramadan,” and safe the discharge of lots of the hostages, the particular person acquainted with the talks mentioned. As soon as the preliminary interval of calm has been established, the hope is that either side will really feel strain to comply with one thing extra everlasting.

However Hamas, which sees its leverage diminished with each hostage launched, has not but signed off on a stand-alone first part to which the administration says Israel has agreed. Israel has mentioned it intends to return to the struggle as quickly because it has all the captives again. Neither facet trusts any ensures signed by the opposite.

Stopping the preventing throughout Ramadan is seen as a big purpose. One of many 5 pillars of Islam, noticed by Muslims worldwide, the month is marked by fasting, introspection, prayer and ideally a household gathering every night after sunset. The final day of the quick, Eid al-Fitr, is one in all Islam’s two official holidays.

The vacation is anticipated to sharply enhance tensions in Gaza, the place a lot of the displaced inhabitants resides in squalid tent and plastic sheeting camps within the south. An estimated 300,000 Palestinians stay within the north, which has been diminished to giant swaths of rubble by Israeli air and floor strikes. Studies of mass hunger within the north, unreachable by most assist convoys, spurred Biden to authorize meals airdrops and the U.S. navy development of a short lived port on Gaza’s Mediterranean coast to permit mass deliveries of help.

However because the talks advance with the casual Ramadan deadline looming, officers throughout the area are involved about the potential for different violence. In East Jerusalem, members of Netanyahu’s right-wing coalition authorities have threatened to restrict entry to the al-Aqsa Mosque, one in all Islam’s holiest locations and a standard flash level for Israeli-Palestinian clashes. Hamas political chief Ismail Haniyeh has referred to as for Palestinians to march there on the primary day of the quick. Within the West Financial institution, clashes between Israeli settlers and safety forces and Palestinians are anticipated to extend.

“It’s at all times a really risky interval,” the Biden administration official mentioned. “I’m not going to make a prediction” on when a deal may be reached, however “clearly, we acknowledge that extremists might attempt to use Ramadan to spark one thing that may be deeply unlucky in that holy month.”

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